Are we really sure it’s a refugee crisis?

It’s been a long time since I have had the time to write anything recently, and I do apologize.  It has also been a while since I wrote about something serious. Today I thought I would give my take on the whole Syrian refugee crisis.

First and foremost, let’s get the facts about the situation. According to the Un Refugee Agency, there are 4.89 million REGISTERED Syrian refugees. The demographic breakdown of this is 25.5% male and 23.8% female between the ages of 18-59 (UNHCR, 2017). These are refugees that have left Syria.  The website syrianrefugees.eu estimates that there are an additional 6.6 million refugees that are internally displaced (Salman, 2016). And just for reference the population is roughly 17 million and the physical size of the entire country is 71498 square miles, about the same size as the state of Washington (Global Fire Power, 2006).

So what has caused this mass exodus from Syria?  The short version of the story is essentially a civil war inside the country loosely caused between the “Arab spring” as well as a division between religious beliefs, government, etc. (Mercy Corps, 2016).  It is interesting to note that the country is over 90% Islamic [70% Sunni, 12% Shia, and 10% Kurds who are predominately Sunni] (Syrian Civil War Map, 2016).  So much for the “religion of peace”, huh?

So now that we have some basic facts established let’s run the numbers on what all this means. Going by the numbers reported above, there are 1.25 million males between the ages of 18 and 59 that have already left the country. Assuming the same 25.5% male demographic of the 6.6 million still in the country, that is another 1.68 million between 18 and 59 years old.  That equates to 2.93 million total. Think about this logically, if even 25% of these men were willing and able to fight for their homes, that would be a force of approximately 730,500. That’s 730,500 of the REFUGEES.  To put that in perspective, the active military personnel for Russia is 766,055 (Global Fire Power, 2006).  It should also be noted that the 730,500 does not include the potential for an additional 392,700 women [estimating 25% of the percentage of women between 18 and 59]. These figures also do not take into account for the 180,000 active duty personnel currently as well as the additional 502,000 of individuals that reach the age to serve annually.

Now that we have all the facts, lets apply some logic to the situation. Let’s do a though exercise – put yourself in their shoes.  Would you really be willing to leave your home, your country, without a fight? With easily over 1,000,000 people to fight, why has this civil war even taken place. If Islam is the supposed “religion of peace”, then why isn’t it all rainbows and puppy dogs? If one takes the time to think about it logically, there are only a couple of answers to the questions:

  1. The people of Syria do not want to retake their homeland. They would prefer to leave and live off the dime of the infidels.
  2. This is an Islamic invasion. This plays into their religion of spreading the false doctrine to other countries.  Remember, there religion states you must convert or die.

My personal opinion of this situation is that I do not support the “refugees”.  I do believe that their country maybe in turmoil, but I do not in any way support the mass immigration to the United States.  We have seen the devastation that they have caused overseas [just look at the UK].  They have made their intentions clear.  Their own neighboring countries do not want them there when they have the money and capability of housing [Saudi Arabia tent city could hold 3 million].  If they as a people wanted to end the civil war, they very easily could.  They have the numbers.  The ultimate goal as it has been states is the propagation of their false doctrine.  They will do whatever it takes to make it happen.  Islam is not a religion of peace.  I will hopefully have a chance to cover that in my next blog.

 

References:

Global Fire Power. (2006). Syria military strength. Retrieved February 6, 2017, from http://www.globalfirepower.com/country-military-strength-detail.asp?country_id=syria

Global Fire Power. (2006). Russia military strength. Retrieved February 6, 2017, from http://www.globalfirepower.com/country-military-strength-detail.asp?country_id=russia

Mercy Corps. (2016, December 19). Quick facts: What you need to know about the Syria crisis. Retrieved February 6, 2017, from https://www.mercycorps.org/articles/iraq-jordan-lebanon-syria-turkey/quick-facts-what-you-need-know-about-syria-crisis

Salman, M. (2016). Syrian refugees. Retrieved February 6, 2017, from http://syrianrefugees.eu/

Syrian Civil War Map. (2016, April 13). The ethnic and religious groups of Syria. Retrieved February 6, 2017, from http://syriancivilwarmap.com/ethnic-and-religious-groups-of-syria/

UNHCR. (2017, February 01). Syrian Regional Refugee Response. Retrieved February 6, 2017, from http://data.unhcr.org/syrianrefugees/regional.php

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